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Cake day: October 23rd, 2024

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  • Overall good points, but:

    The most potent political lesson of the past four years is that politicians who preside over rising prices – regardless of their role in causing them – will swiftly feel the wrath of their voters. The public is furious about inflation, whether it comes from transient covid supply chain shocks, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, or cartels using “inflation” as cover for illegal, collusive price-gouging.

    GOP complaining about inflation and deficits is them finding something to complain about a strong economy. PP/canada conservatives complaining about carbon tax is supporting Ukrainian nazis while global diesel/home heating fuel refining was at maximum capacity. The Ukrainian support was common to all parties. They had to make up complaints.

    Some other things Canada can do is export taxes on resources and energy. The US can’t replace Canada where it is needed in short term.

    The big policy change is opening up FDI to China. Can put restrictions on natural resources to also invest in manufacturing using those resources, but treating the US as the only permissible option for investment is bad for Canadian companies and jobs. While Canadians are firmly programed in US foreign policy propaganda, if Trump/US adopts a “coercion until you accept being a territorial posession”, Canada needs to take a friendlier stance towards Russia, North Korea, China, and deprogram itself from US empire bs. It should continue advertising secession and provincehood to US states.


  • U.S. sponsored and sponsors many movements around the globe as long as their goals align. That money alone can’t invalidate the cause.

    USSC declares money is speech. You not only agree, but go further that money is truth. Naziism and Islamist fascism is truth. Democracy, and political power, is much cheaper in smaller countries made less stable with US extortion and war. Navalny caught on video soliciting MI6 for funding to destabilize Russia. Hong Kong media mogul fomenting protests because of Americas values.

    The US empire’s values are extortion, control, puppetry, and war whitewashed/described with a facade of liberal freedom. Every country is to be a pawn for the empire to the detriment of their population. The political establishment’s disdain for Americans provides no valid expectation for the empire to promote humanism elsewhere. Just propaganda.



  • For the actual policy details not paywalled:

    https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/nvidia-and-sia-fire-back-at-u-s-govs-new-export-restrictions-on-ai-gpus-to-china

    Nvidia:

    “It makes no sense for the Biden White House to control everyday data center computers and technology already in gaming PCs worldwide, disguised as an anti-China move,” Finkle wrote. “The extreme ‘country cap’ policy will affect mainstream computers in countries around the world, doing nothing to promote national security but pushing the world to alternative technologies.”

    the 50000 GPUs over 3 years per tier 2 country would seem to include consumer gamers from that country, perhaps buying older generation rtx30? gpus. 0 GPUs to China/others. Seems to make tier 2 worse than current China policies, while also “forcing Nvidia” to also only sell $2000 Blackwells in tier 2 countries.

    Maybe a backdoor that is opened is to build all datacenters in Tier 1 countries, and then use the 25% allowance to expand to tier 2.

    China’s “delete America” program is justified over this, and its not that far behind in single GPU performance, and ahead of rtx30. Just drivers and interconnection that need to catch up. Which doesn’t seem like an impossible task, especially in controlled hardware environments. National resources increasing/doubling for that goal is a likely response.

    The whole national security justification and warmongering bent is troublesome. AI must serve war and US supremacy, and must be used against American people to ensure the supremacy.




  • Abundance is humanist economics. Accusations of dumping are too easy to make baselessly. A solution to accusations of overabundance is to make a government bought stockpile. A path to protecting domestic competitors is to let them resale from your stockpile.

    China puts a 25% export charge on steel. Can’t call that dumping. Its ev solar battery competitive advantages, are largely the result of being a manufacturing nexus, and market for tooling and automation, and near the largest market for all goods. Largest companies in sector are generally profitable, which negates dumping accusation

    It would be surprising if chips accusation are any more real than other baselessness.








  • afaik, without a need for error correction a quantum computer with 256 bits could break an old 256 bit RSA key. RSA keys are made by taking 2 (x-1 bit) primes and multiplying them together. It is relatively simple algorithms to factor numbers that size on both classsical and quantum computers, However, the larger the number/bits, the more billions of billions of years it takes a classical computer to factor it. The limit for a quantum computer is how many “practical qubits” it has. OP’s article did not answer this, and so far no quantum computer has been able to solve factoring a number any faster than your phone can in under a half second.






  • The notion that AI will solve the climate crisis is unbelievably stupid, not because of any theory about what AI may or may not be capable of, but because we already know how to fix the climate crisis!

    Its a political problem. Nationalizing the western oil companies to prevent them from lobbying, and to invest their profits in renewables, is a solution, but no party in the CIA Overton window would support it. If war and human suffering can be made a priority over human sustainability, then oil lobbyists will promote war.